For most of Google’s history, the search results page was a gateway. You searched, you saw a list of links, and you clicked one. That’s no longer the default experience. Google increasingly answers questions directly on the results page itself, through features called AI Overviews, featured snippets, knowledge panels, and other built-in answer boxes. A user who types “how much does a fence cost in NZ” might read a complete answer without ever visiting a website.
These AI-generated summaries, known as AI Overviews, have rolled out steadily across Google search since 2024 and are now appearing on a growing share of queries. Studies analysing hundreds of thousands of keywords have found that when an AI Overview appears at the top of results, the click-through rate for organic links drops by around 58%. That’s not a ranking problem. Your page is still there, still ranking. Fewer people are finding a reason to click.
Recent research found that around 60% of all searches now end without a click to any external website. On mobile devices, that figure is even higher. The search results page has effectively become the destination rather than the starting point. This doesn’t mean your website is broken or that SEO is finished. It means the environment has changed and the strategy needs to change with it.
Not every type of search is affected equally. Informational queries take the biggest hit. If someone is asking a general question, like how something works or what something costs, Google is increasingly confident it can answer that without sending anyone anywhere. AI Overviews appear on virtually all informational keyword categories, particularly question-based searches.
The picture looks different for local searches and searches where someone is ready to buy or book. Someone looking for a specific tradesperson in Whangarei, a plumber in Kerikeri, or a restaurant in Paihia still needs to visit a website or make contact. Local searches trigger AI Overviews far less often than general information queries. Shopping and e-commerce queries similarly retain higher click-through rates because the user still needs to get somewhere to actually buy. If your business depends on local customers finding you to make an enquiry or booking, your situation is more resilient than the headline numbers suggest, provided your local SEO fundamentals are in order.
The content Google tends to cite in its AI summaries comes largely from pages that already rank well, and from sites that demonstrate clear expertise on a topic. Research from mid-2025 found that 76% of AI Overview citations came from pages ranking in the top ten. By early 2026, following Google’s switch to Gemini 3, that figure had dropped to 38%, with citations spreading much more broadly across the web. The direction of travel is clear: ranking well still gives you an advantage, but Google’s AI is increasingly willing to pull from sources further down the results page when it finds something genuinely useful.
What Google is really looking for when it decides what to cite comes down to trust and clarity. A page that answers a question directly, is written by someone who clearly knows their subject, and sits on a website that has built a consistent reputation in its field is far more likely to be pulled into an AI summary than a page that covers the same topic in a vague or generic way. This is why businesses that have invested in good content over time tend to hold up better through these changes than those who have relied on thin pages or keyword-heavy copy. Google’s AI is essentially making a judgement call about who the credible voices are in any given topic area, and that judgement is based on signals built up over time, not overnight.
The fundamentals of good SEO still apply. What’s shifting is the emphasis. Businesses that adapt their approach now, rather than waiting to see how things settle, are better placed to hold their visibility as AI search continues to develop. A few areas worth focusing on:
Google traffic can drop even when your rankings haven’t moved. Here’s why that’s happening and what it means for your business.
We’ve been working with small NZ businesses on their search visibility since 1999, and the shift to AI-driven search is something we’re watching closely for every client we work with. If your traffic has dropped and you’re not sure why, or you want to make sure your website is well-positioned for the way search is heading, get in touch with us and we’ll take a look at what’s going on.
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